Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000219 0.000245 0.000273 0.000305 0.000341 0.000379 0.000425
2025-01-19 0.000185 0.000221 0.000261 0.000311 0.000370 0.000439 0.000524
2025-01-26 0.000156 0.000197 0.000246 0.000309 0.000389 0.000486 0.000614
2025-02-02 0.000142 0.000188 0.000246 0.000325 0.000429 0.000563 0.000748
2025-02-09 0.000127 0.000176 0.000240 0.000331 0.000457 0.000625 0.000868
2025-02-16 0.000114 0.000165 0.000234 0.000335 0.000481 0.000685 0.000991
2025-02-23 0.000103 0.000153 0.000225 0.000335 0.000499 0.000736 0.001105
2025-03-02 0.000091 0.000141 0.000214 0.000329 0.000507 0.000772 0.001200
2025-03-09 0.000083 0.000132 0.000206 0.000327 0.000520 0.000817 0.001312
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.000124 0.000200 0.000327 0.000536 0.000868 0.001437
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000118 0.000196 0.000329 0.000554 0.000922 0.001571
2025-03-30 0.000065 0.000112 0.000190 0.000327 0.000567 0.000967 0.001695
2025-04-06 0.000059 0.000106 0.000184 0.000327 0.000583 0.001023 0.001845
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000101 0.000181 0.000330 0.000604 0.001088 0.002020
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000095 0.000174 0.000325 0.000612 0.001132 0.002161
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000094 0.000177 0.000341 0.000658 0.001249 0.002448
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000091 0.000176 0.000346 0.000685 0.001334 0.002683
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000088 0.000173 0.000350 0.000710 0.001415 0.002918
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000084 0.000169 0.000350 0.000726 0.001480 0.003129
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000079 0.000162 0.000343 0.000728 0.001518 0.003286
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000075 0.000158 0.000341 0.000740 0.001577 0.003492
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000072 0.000155 0.000341 0.000757 0.001648 0.003731
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000070 0.000152 0.000343 0.000776 0.001725 0.003993